Ancient Indian Economy: Modi is right, Chidambaram is wrong


This is election time. It is usual that the political leaders exchange opinions   during election season. But much before the current election fever started, there was an interesting exchange of words between the BJP Prime Ministerial candidate Naranedra Modi and the Union Finance Minister P. Chidambaram.

The Union Minister was reported to have asked the Gujarat Chief Minister to read books on history to understand the ancient Indian economy.  The news report in this connection mentioned that Chidambaram was clarifying his stand by saying: “Most Indians were poor throughout its history. Only a few were rich – kings and landlords. Modi should read books on history.” (ibnlive.in.com/news, Nov.15, 2013). The clarification was in reply to the statement of the Gujarat Chief Minister who had pointed out that “India’s Finance Minister went abroad where he described India as a 5000 year old poor nation.” 

More than four months after the above exchange between the two important political leaders of our country, there has been no discussion on this subject in public. While Mr.Modi has raised his voice on an important issue relating to the performance of the Indian economy during the earlier centuries, the clarification of the Finance Minister was casual.

We may have totally different opinions with regard to the future policies and the present approaches of our country. But how can there be two divergent opinions regarding history?  How it is that even after sixty six years of independence, India’s economic history is subject to speculations. Is it possible in any other developed country in the world?  

The history of India and much of the world was written by the European masters during the colonial periods with ulterior motives. This is the reason why the   world economic history begins with the industrial revolution during the eighteenth century in Europe. The idea was to make the western countries appear superior and others as mere followers. Unfortunately the much- educated Indians who shape the policies of our country still believe in the outdated colonial history,   disregarding the findings of the path-breaking research works by eminent economists over the years. They refuse to acknowledge that an ancient nation such as India could have a successful history of her own.

Studies relating to the Indus- Saraswathy civilization shows as to how highly planned cities existed around 4500 years back. Business historians note the dominance of India in international trade even during those times.  The first book on economics and politics was written in India about 2300 years back. It discusses about agriculture, industry, services sector, imports, exports, tax system and   consumer welfare in detail, besides the policies to be adopted and the administrative   systems required to manage the economy for better performance. Such a work would not have been possible without intimate knowledge of economics and the functioning systems.

There have been published research studies relating to the economic history from objective points of view since the 1980s.  The studies present two major findings. One is that the two ancient economies namely India and China were the most dominant players at the global level till the nineteenth century. The second finding is that the European countries enter the global economic arena with significant contributions only from the nineteenth century.

The most important of the above studies is the comprehensive research work relating to the economies of different countries during the previous two millennia. It was undertaken by the Organization for Economic Cooperation and Development under the leadership of the noted economic historian Angus Maddison. It is the most authoritative work undertaken so far and its findings have been accepted by the western world.

The study reveals that during the beginning of the common era (0 CE), India’s share of global GDP was 32.9 per cent. It is important to know that India was leading the global economy at that time with almost one-third of contribution. It was outstanding performance. We have to remember that no western power has ever touched that mark in the history during the last two thousand years. Such a performance would not have been possible without strong foundations and better functioning systems built over many centuries.

China was following India with a share of 26.2 per cent. All the western world put together was only contributing less than 15 per cent. In fact the richer countries of the contemporary world namely the US, the UK and others show their faces individually in the global economic map only during the sixteenth century. 

Another important fact about the ancient Indian economy is its remarkable ability to remain as the most prosperous nation for most of the time in history.  Maddison notes that India continued to remain at the top for several centuries, till China overtook it during 1600 with 0.5 per cent higher share. India went ahead of China again in 1700, to be pushed to the second position once more during 1820. Thereafter the both the economies had to face onslaughts from the colonial powers and witness declines.

Paul S Kennedy notes that India’s share of global manufacturing was 24. 5 per cent during 1750. In a period of just 150 years, during 1900, the share fell down to 1.7 per cent. At the same time, the share of the UK had moved up from 1.9 per cent to 18.5 per cent during the above period. All the sectors of the economy suffered a lot during those times. Millions of people had to lose their lives due to the famines orchestrated by the wrong policies. The destructive approaches of the alien rulers destroyed our economy and made India a very poor country.

As a result the performance of India declined drastically and its share of global GDP was 4.2 per cent during 1950. Dadabhai Naoroji lamented that the per capita income of Indians during the nineteenth century was the lowest among the “civilized world”. Will Durant records that “British rule in India is the most sordid and criminal exploitation of one nation by another in all recorded history.”

By all accounts India remained a richer country till the nineteenth century, with a commendable performance in different fields. India and China remained the two dominant economic powers scene for most of the time. We have been once again witnessing the rise of China and India during the recent decades, even while the western countries are facing serious problems.

Different studies show that India has strong fundamentals and native functioning systems. India as a nation has enormous strengths and higher potential for superior performance. India’s onward march was disturbed midway by the policy paralysis and the wrong approaches of the UPA government. It is unfortunate that we have highly educated policy makers who are not even aware of the basic history of the economy that they are presiding over.

(www.niticentral.com April 5, 2014)


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